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Despite the unprecedented spread of democracy worldwide following the Cold War, democratic backsliding has increased in the past decade globally. This reversal is being felt in the digital realm where authoritarian regimes have increasingly misused digital tools to oppress citizens and undermine core democratic values, including freedom of speech, freedom of the press, and election integrity. This issue brief produced by FP Analytics, with support from Google, explores the risks and opportunities for defending democracy in the digital age.
The COVID-19 pandemic is a timely reminder of the deep interconnection between global public health and economic security. In addition to as many as 20 million lives lost, the pandemic will cost the global economy at least USD $13.8 trillion through 2024. By contrast, investments in public health increased life expectancy by 54 percent between 1950 and 2020 and were responsible for as much as a third of economic growth in the last century. In this context, and as the world continues to combat a range of infectious diseases such HIV/AIDS, tuberculosis, and malaria, the evidence is clear about the complementary health and economic benefits of investing in global health. This issue brief, produced by FP Analytics with support from The Global Fund, explores the multiple dividends from investments in public health and outlines key areas for action.
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine revealed the limits of the United Nations and other multilateral institutions to constrain acts of aggression and cohesively respond to the compounding security, environmental, and socioeconomic challenges facing the world. Volatility in commodity prices brought on by the COVID-19 pandemic and the invasion of Ukraine poses an immediate threat to human security and economic stability, exacerbating poverty and intensifying humanitarian emergencies across the globe. In the face of this volatility, international organizations have struggled to respond to rising food, energy, and debt risks. This issue brief, produced by FP Analytics with support from the Open Society Foundations, assesses the cascading global, economic, humanitarian, and political effects, highlighting potential pathways for multilateral institutions to respond more effectively to existing and emerging crises and to strengthen global resilience to withstand and overcome future shocks.
On June 28, 2022, Foreign Policy hosted its inaugural Global Health Forum to discuss the most pressing issues and trends in international public health. As the world continues to contend with the repercussions of the global COVID-19 pandemic, the forum amplified the leading voices in global health to shed light on key pathways to revitalize and strengthen health systems and explore how public, private, and civic leaders can better anticipate and address often-overlooked risks such as antibiotic resistance and biowarfare. This synthesis report distills the highlights from this timely, hybrid event which provided an opportunity to reflect on the lessons learned from pandemics and epidemics to help inform preparedness investments and planning.
For the second consecutive year, FP Analytics and World Vision partnered to hold a virtual simulation featuring a research-based hypothetical scenario grounded in a multi-sector framework for assessing risk and fostering resilience across the humanitarian, development, and peace nexus. The 2022 simulation challenged participants from around the world to tackle the complex political, socio-economic, and environmental factors that are eroding livelihoods, increasing human and ecosystem vulnerability, and contributing to conflict and migration in the Asia-Pacific region, specifically near Bangladesh, Myanmar, and India.
ISSUE BRIEFS, EVENTS, AND MICROSITE
FP Analytics produced a special, two-part report examining the potential national security and economic competitiveness implications of proposed U.S. legislation to regulate the tech sector, with support from the Computer Communications Industry Association (CCIA). The analysis and the associated Virtual Dialogues sought to advance discussion and debate to ensure that the proposed legislation safeguards against extant and emerging risks to U.S. interests.
RESEARCH, ANALYSIS, AND DATABASE
Planning for Aging Societies: An Analysis of Governmental Plans for Healthy Aging from Around the World
To understand the varying approaches to healthy aging and to advance more comprehensive, inclusive, whole-of-government approaches to aging, FP Analytics partnered with AARP to identify and analyze national and subnational policies, plans, and strategies from six regions to support the overall well-being and health of older persons across relevant areas of policymaking. The partnership established a Database of Action Plans on Aging (DAPA), which will be expanded and updated over time. The DAPA and an accompanying synthesis report provide policymakers and healthy aging experts globally with resources to inform their efforts to support aging populations.
In partnership with Microsoft, FP Analytics produced this special report on how mobilizing financing could help the world’s least developed countries (LDCs) – which face a severe financing gap that hinders their ability to build critical infrastructure – develop competitive industries, grow their economic base, and achieve the United Nations (UN) Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). Official development aid and donor funds are insufficient to address existing funding gaps but perceptions of risk and challenges to scale have deterred private investors and lenders from committing to LDCs. The analysis shows innovative models for attracting private capital to LDCs are emerging and beginning to have success in the form of blended finance, including in industries such as clean energy, agriculture, sustainable tourism, and digital infrastructure.
Nuclear power could play a crucial role in helping achieve net-zero, but a lack of political will and under-developed national strategies are holding back the development and deployment of advanced nuclear technologies. Increasing the share of nuclear power could offer a crucial way for developed countries to decarbonize their grids and for developing countries to expand energy access while limiting emissions. As outlined in FP Analytics Firm Zero-Emission Power special report, the clean energy solutions of the future will include a range of cleaner energy sources, including advanced nuclear approaches, carbon capture technology, and geothermal techniques. Effectively developing and implementing these technologies, and identifying ways that firm, zero-emission sources can augment renewables will be key in order to slash emissions and provide reliable sources of power.
As part of a very special collaboration, FP Analytics and the Anwar Gargash Diplomatic Academy (AGDA) developed the Future Diplomats PeaceGame to engage and train the next generation of foreign policy leaders. In 2021, over 20 young diplomats from 14 countries participated in FP’s custom-built Virtual PeaceGame Platform for an immersive and interactive simulation that challenged participants to grapple with the international security and governance issues emerging from the deployment of advanced weapons and communications technologies in space.
Research, Analysis, and Toolkit
To coincide with the start of the UN Decade of Healthy Aging, AARP partnered with FP Analytics to better understand the nuanced landscape of healthy aging, through in-depth research and a series of expert roundtables and one-on-one interviews. This collaborative initiative identifies promising practices and innovations that holistically support healthy aging around the world and highlights people-centered policies and programs being developed. The accompanying toolkit contains case studies and resources that can be leveraged by policymakers and practitioners in their ongoing efforts to meet the multi-dimensional needs of older adults.
The Her Power summit, which took place over two mornings on October 26 and 27, 2021, brought together leading women from the public and private sectors for discussions on a wide range of topics, including sustainability, climate change, health, and education. Throughout these discussions, participants came back to the key idea that the COVID-19 pandemic has exposed existing societal inequalities—particularly gender inequality—and should be a catalyst for immediate, ambitious action to eliminate those inequalities and more effectively support women.
ISSUE BRIEF, SPECIAL REPORT, AND MICROSITE
Amid the escalation of cyber-attacks globally, FP Analytics produced “Securing Our Digital Future,” with support from Microsoft. This groundbreaking special report highlights the economic, social, and geopolitical implications of escalating cybersecurity threats and the urgent need for international collaboration to combat them. In addition to FPA’s research brief on “The Cost of Inaction,” the report includes contributions from global luminaries Madeleine Albright, Tim Berners Lee, Brad Smith, and other leading thinkers on creating an international framework for peace, security and cooperation in the cyber world.
Research and Analysis
This FPA analysis explores the role and impact of think tanks in combating troubling global trends like authoritarianism, economic protectionism, poverty, and threats to human rights and civil liberties. In addition to shedding light on the perspectives of think tank leaders and how they are working to tackle major issues, this report also contains specific recommendations for think tanks, donors, and stakeholders. The analysis was produced with support from the Atlas Network.
FP Simulation and Synthesis Report
FP Analytics recently brought together global and regional leaders and experts from government, the private sector, academia, and civil society to grapple with the complex political, socio-economic, and environmental factors driving forced migration from El Salvador, Guatemala, and Honduras as part of a closed-door simulation. The simulation was followed by a Virtual Dialogue that included officials and practitioners working on the front lines to address the root causes of forced migration. The program was developed by FP Analytics in partnership with World Vision U.S. and the World Bank.
Meta-analysis and Microsite
This meta-analysis, produced by FP Analytics with support from The Gates Foundation, is a must-read those seeking a synthesized analysis of how COVID-19 has disproportionately affected women worldwide, why recovery plans must include and prioritize women, and what actions policymakers and investors can take to help ensure women are at the heart of post-pandemic recovery efforts.
The Implications of Geospatial Data for Responding to Crises. In the face of natural disasters, satellite-derived topographic or population data can provide tactical insights to mitigate risk to human life and overall cost of emergency responses – specially in fragile states with limited access to on-the-ground intelligence. This issue brief by FP Analytics, underwritten by Maxar, explores how geospatial technology can enable decision makers across defense, security, and humanitarian sectors to detect potential threats or hazards, access remote locations with poor infrastructure, and deliver aid to populations in need.
The digital ecosystem is reflecting and amplifying gender inequalities in society. Having long been underrepresented in policymaking, today, women find themselves largely excluded from technology development and the governance frameworks that are shaping the future. This FP Analytics brief, underwritten by Our Secure Future, examines the costs of continued exclusion and how equality in the digital ecosystem is an economic, business, and security imperative.
RESEARCH AND ANALYSIS
This groundbreaking study, produced in partnership with the U.S. African Development Foundation, examines key drivers of economic and social resilience across The Sahel, The Horn, and Great Lakes regions of Africa amid the pandemic. The report features frontline insights from entrepreneurs, investors, and leaders in the international development community and highlights how capacity-building at the local level and investment in local enterprise can facilitate conflict recovery and generate community resilience and sustainable, equitable growth.
An issue brief by FP Analytics, produced in partnership with AARP, that highlights the critical challenges facing the world’s aging population–vulnerabilities which have been further exacerbated by COVID-19. The brief also pinpoints opportunities for meaningful action to protect the human rights of older adults globally more fully.
RESEARCH, ANALYSIS, and MICROSITE
Companies with the highest ratio of female executives are an average of 47% more profitable, 32% more transparent, and 74% higher-performing on environmental/social/governance issues than those with the lowest, according to FP Analytics' groundbreaking Women as Levers of Change report. Through analysis of over 2,300 companies spanning 14 industries around the world–as well as interviews with over 150 women leaders–this analysis demonstrates how female corporate participation is benefiting businesses from the boardroom to the bottom-line.
RESEARCH, ANALYSIS, and MICROSITE
The 2019 Trade and Investment Report, produced by FP Analytics in collaboration with the World Trade Centers Association (WTCA), illuminates the sources of growing global economic and trade uncertainty, the distinctive traits that make cities resilient, and strategies for adapting to the new normal. This study is the result of original city-level data analysis, surveys, and interviews with business leaders from around the world, using the WTCA’s network of more than 325 cities, representing more than 35 percent of global gross domestic product and 1.24 billion people.
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FP Analytics’ Power Map, The Final Frontier is an analytical, interactive resource that examines the trends, key power players, and international policy frameworks shaping the outer space domain. It provides FP Insiders with a breakdown of how technological innovations enable increased commercial activity and geopolitical competition among spacefaring nations, and their implications for the weaponization of space and space sustainability.
In FP Analytics’ three-part Power Map series, The Future of Money, we examine the forces shaping the global financial landscape and driving the adoption of new financial instruments by major institutions such as central banks, investment banks, and large tech companies as well as individual investors. Part I analyzes the status of the dollar as the world’s reserve currency, details the emerging challenges to the dollar, and walks through China, Russia, and the European Union’s efforts to transform the existing financial system. Part II examines the promise and potential perils of cryptocurrency as a vehicle for financial change. And Part III will examine stablecoins, the prospects for institutional adoption, and the rapidly evolving efforts to regulate this space.
FP Analytics provides an interactive, analytical breakdown of the key players in the Biden administration across seven core U.S. foreign policy priorities. These pressing issues—which include climate change, the COVID-19 pandemic response, cyber and technology, economic competitiveness, “Forever Wars” and the Middle East, immigration and asylum, and nuclear proliferation—formed the foundation of President Biden’s campaign platform and have been the focus of major initiatives launched by the administration within its first 100 days.
FP Analytics’ two-part Arctic Competition Power Map provides Insiders with an in-depth breakdown of how melting sea ice is enabling increased commercial activity and geopolitical competition over resources, shipping routes, and territory in the Arctic. Part I examines how climate change is transforming the Arctic and the region’s increasing commercial and geopolitical competition over resources. Part II analyzes Russia’s military buildup in the region, increasing engagement from China, NATO’s Arctic defense capabilities, and the potential for great power competition in the region.
In FP Analytics’ Data Governance Power Map series, we examine the emerging laws, regulations, and technologies that are both enabling greater data collection and impacting cross-border data flows. FPA’s Power Maps catalogue the data localization laws, national data regulations, cybersecurity laws, and the government data collection and monitoring and surveillance technologies that are shaping the global data governance landscape. The analysis examines the implications of these laws for individuals, businesses, and organizations and the disruptive forces of data nationalism.
The discussion surrounding the ongoing development of the fifth generation of cellular networks, or “5G,” has invoked intense anticipation, deep-seated fear, and general confusion. 5G has the power to be a transformative technology, but it is widely misunderstood. In our 5G series, FP Analytics analyzes three distinct aspects of 5G: Technology and Infrastructure, The Global Competitive Landscape, and National Security, which are essential to more fully understanding the evolving industry and the range of commercial and geopolitical implications.
Maintaining significant generating resources with operating characteristics similar to today’s power plants—often referred to as “firm” or “dispatchable” resources, because they can be ramped up and down at any time—would dramatically reduce the likely costs of deep decarbonization of the grid while also reducing technology risk by harnessing a more diversified portfolio of solutions. In this FP Analytics report, find out how carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS), advanced nuclear, and unconventional geothermal can be part of the solution.
Some 70 percent of today’s CO2 emissions belong to countries with net-zero commitments, but tangible policy action to those ends continues to fall short. Batteries and hydrogen have emerged as two promising technologies for enabling this next level of economy-wide deep decarbonization. This FP Analytics’ Special Report examines the state of the technology, investment trends, and strategic collaborations that are driving decarbonization in some of the hardest-to-abate sectors.
The lifeblood of high-tech industries, semiconductors are at the heart of intensifying U.S.-China strategic and economic competition. Escalating trade tensions between these two superpowers and a range of protective measures have had cascading impacts that are threatening global supply chains, firms’ competitiveness, and end-users’ access to these vital materials. FP Analytics’ Special Report examines the interconnectivity and fragility of global supply chains and the central role of Taiwan in global tech competition.
The authorization, approval, and initial distribution of 13 different COVID-19 vaccines, and the development of nearly 100 more that are currently in trials, offer hope for more effective management and an eventual end to the pandemic. This Analysis from FP Analytics examines hurdles in vaccine roll-out, procurement inequities, and the benefits of vaccine diplomacy.
As governments around the world continue to grapple with the pandemic, FP Analytics has developed the COVID-19 Global Response Index to track countries’ responses to the novel coronavirus according to key metrics. The Index includes country profiles, contextual information, and regional comparisons.
As voters prepared to cast their ballot in the 2020 elections, this FP Insider Report analyzed the underreported issue of voting machine infrastructure security, derives insights from other countries’ experiences with foreign interference, and pinpoints what voters and officials can do to strengthen security on Election Day—and beyond.
The threat of climate change requires understanding, strategic planning, and transnational cooperation across sectors in order to design and implement solutions on a global scale. This FP Analytics’ report looks at how to manage the cascading security implications of a warming world, including lessons learned from the FP Climate & Security PeaceGames.
The Her Power Index links data analysis with insight from former and current foreign-policy staffers to illuminate the under-representation of women across U.S. foreign policy agencies over the last decade.
Mining the Future is the first systematic and comprehensive assessment of China’s accumulation of control and influence over a range of critical metals and minerals, and the supply chains upon which the future of the high-tech industry depends.